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Report that suggests the national future strategies based on the analysis of major future issues by the research team
[International Strategy Foresight] Korea's Security Strategies in the Era of US-China Competition, No. 1

Date : 2020-09-24 Writer : You Chae-kwang

Former NAFI Associate Research Fellow You Chae-kwang presented mid- to long-term security strategies for South Korea to adopt amid intensifying competition over supremacy between the US and China. These customized strategies concerning each of the two target countries were derived based on the analysis of how the US-China competition changes the strategic interests of the US, China, North Korea, and Japan, which are Korea's principal counterparts.

The following is a list of the mid- to long-term security strategies concerning each country proposed by Dr. You.

The major strategies with respect to the US include: A subtle adjustment of the Korea-US alliance in consideration of relations with China; the creation of a space for diplomatic solutions through a forum for wide ranging talks with the United States; and the securing of independent military capabilities.

Toward China, Dr. You presented the following as representative strategies: Allaying China's doubts related to the US deployment of strategic assets in Korea; institutionalizing high-level dialogue channels; and reducing economic dependence.

Regarding North Korea, the following strategies were derived: Military deterrence strategy; continued dialogue in preparation for crises or changes in the security environment; and the strengthening of advanced surveillance capabilities.

The strategies toward Japan are as follows: A quick solution to conflicts over the past; the restoration of a liberal rule-based order; and return to the Korea-US-Japan triangular alliance.

※ "International Strategy Foresight" is a brief-type in-depth research report issued every other week to present national future strategies for Korea based on the analysis of major future issues by the research fellows of National Assembly Futures Institute.

Inquiries: Former NAFI Associate Research Fellow Ryu Jae-gwang (you.36@buckeyemail.osu.edu)