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The National Assembly Futures Institute publishes reports that predict and analyze the changes in the future environment based on a comprehensive perspective, and derive mid- to long-term national development strategies in consideration of the preferences of the citizens
[20-22] A meta-evaluation of the government's mid- and long-term plans for addressing the aging of society

Date : 2020-12-31 item : Research Report 20-22 P.I : Sung Moon-ju et al.

[20-22]  A meta-evaluation of the government's mid- and long-term plans for addressing the aging of society

 This study conducted a meta-evaluation of the government's mid-term and long-term plans aiming to address the issues relevant to the aging society and provided suggestions for policy-making as feedback on the policy being currently implemented.

 In this study, the meta-evaluation of the government's mid-term and long-term plans was defined as the evaluation of the government's mid-term and long-term plans “by analyzing and synthesizing existing policy evaluation results” (Chelimsky, 1985). The meta-evaluation was conducted in this study using the criteria of validity, congruence, and effectiveness of policies.

 Based on the results of the topic modeling, meta-evaluation areas were divided into (a) retirement income guarantee, (b) social service (health and care guarantee), and (c) lifelong learning support. The following government mid-term and long-term plans were selected for the meta-evaluation areas. Specifically, the 3rd Plan for Low Fertility and Aging Society (Revised) (2016~2020) was selected for all the meta-evaluation areas. The 3rd Plan for Low Fertility and Aging Society (Revised plan) (2016~2020) was selected for the retirement income guarantee area. The 2nd Long-Term Care Plan for the elderly (2018-2022), the 4th National Health Promotion Plan (2016~2020), and the 3rd Plan for Dementia Management (2016~2020) were selected for the social service (health and care guarantee) area. Third, the 3rd Plan for Employment Promotion for the Elderly (2017~2021) and the 5-Year Roadmap for Job Policy (2017~2021) were selected for the lifelong learning support area.

 In an exploration of how to implement policies more efficiently and effectively, this study used Q methodology. The sample(N=1,000) was collected from people aged from 19 to 69 years old in Korea. By analyzing the data, the respondents were categorized into four groups based on the similarities of their policy demands in terms of addressing issues on the aging society: (a) people with a preference for obtaining governmental support for outplacement rather than improving old-age retirement income security, (b) people with a preference for promoting the quality of care for the elderly rather than improving old-age retirement income security, (c) people with a preference for governmental support that covers the life cycle, and (d) people with a preference for a universal retirement income guarantee policy without increasing tax.

 Finally, several themes emerged in evaluating the plans in terms of their validity, congruence, and effectiveness in the three areas. Implications for establishing future government mid-to-long term plans and for legislation were suggested.