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National Assembly Futures Institute holds a briefing on launching its research project for 2019

Date : 2019-04-10 Writer : NAFI

National Assembly Futures Institute holds a briefing on launching its research project for 2019

- aims to derivate predictions and future strategies by converging 13 areas- 


<Summary>

The National Assembly Futures Institute (President Park Jin) will host a briefing on launching its research for 2019 at a meeting room #5 of the National Assembly Building at 14:00~16:00 on April 11, 2019. Based on the results of the future prediction for 13 areas conducted in 2018, the NAFI plans

to predict what the future would look like by converging the areas and derive strategies to prepare

for it. Furthermore, the NAFI plans to converge the 13 areas to classify national future into 4 categories, and let the people choose the desired state of the country. In addition, the NAFI will

present a national long-term development strategies to achieve that. It is worth to note that the

2019 NAFI project includes a future impact assessment which evaluates mid- and long-term development plans of the executive in preparation for the 2018 projects, and a joint research project with five research institutes affiliated with political parties. (End)

Enquiry: head of research support office at the NAFI, Kim Hong-Beom

(02-2224-9803, hbkim@nafi.re.kr)

<Table of Contents>

1.Multi-year research plan of the NAFI

2.Summary of 2019 plan by project

3. Tentative table of contents for 2019 research report by project

<Attachment> Research Plan by Business


1. Multi-year research plan of the NAFI


2. Summary of 2019 plan by project

1. Research Project on Prediction of Comprehensive Future Scenario for 2050 

: drawing up the future implication by converging researches conducted in 2018 for 13 major areas to derive future scenario and political task, as well as by deriving comprehensive scenarios

2. Research Project on National Preference Survey 

:discussing various possibilities of future society with the people and conducting a national preference study through the study of appropriate processes and methodologies for selecting a preferred future society, survey of values, and public opinion surveys etc.

3. Research Project on Long-term National Development Strategy 

: establishing national long-term development strategies by comparing· analyzing national and overseas mid-and long-term development strategy reports, analyzing national governance system and evaluating strategies by sector

4.Research Project on International Strategy 

: studying long-range international strategic plans; especially, grand strategies

5. Research Project on Future Impact Assessment 

: conducting preliminary research on systems to overcome the limitations of establishing and executing national future strategies in the legislative process, and conducting a basic research on systems (future impact assessment) that review future impact factors prior to implementing the administration's policies

6. Research Project on Strengthening Policy Capacity of the National Assembly 

: as a think tank of the National Assembly, discovering common agendas and conducting a national long-term strategy research through joint research with research institutes affiliated political parties, government and private research institutes to strengthen policy capability of the National Assembly

7. Research Project on Improving Own Research Capacity 

: strengthening own research capacity to cultivate the expertise of the NAFI for collaborating with various experts within the National Assembly and conducting converged • combined researches with research personnel/institutions by area

8. Utilization of Research Findings & Diffusion Business 

: preparing a foundation for planning research tasks and creating results by promoting domestic and international future knowledge networks and hosting international academic conferences etc., and

contributing to the utilization/expansion of domestic and international achievements


 

 

3. Tentative table of contents for 2019 research report by project

 

1. Research Project on Prediction of Comprehensive Future Scenario for 2050

2. Research Project on National Preference Survey

Chapter 1. Introduction

Section 1. Necessity and Purpose of Research Section 2. Contents and Scope of Research

Chapter 2. Precedent Study

 Section 1. Cases of Precedent Study

Section 2. Limitations and Implications of precedent study

Chapter 3. Research Method

Section 1. Method of Deriving Combined Issues

1. Major Issues and Policies in 13 Research Areas

2. Conceptualization and derivation process of combined issues

3. Results on derivation of combined issues

Section 3. Research Conduction System

1. Research Promotion System

2. Process of deriving comprehensive scenario

Chapter 4. Prediction Study on Combined Areas (provisional areas)

Section 1. Leadership

Section 2. Growth and Development

Section 3. Individuals and Communities

Section 4. food, clothing and shelter

Chapter 5. Research on Derivation of 2050 Comprehensive Scenarios

Section 1. Conceptualization Process of

Comprehensive Scenario

Section 2. Deriving Results and Analysis of Comprehensive Scenarios

Chapter 6. A Study on Deriving Policy Tasks Based on Comprehensive Scenarios

Chapter 7. Conclusions and Policy Implications Section 1. Conclusion

  Section 2. Policy Implications and Recommendations

Chapter 1. Introduction

Section 1.Research Background

Section 2.Research Methodology

Chapter 2. Precedent Study and Differences

Chapter 3. A Study on the Preferred Future by the People in the 2050 Comprehensive Scenario   

Section 1. Process for National Preference

Survey for 2050

Section 2. National Future Preferred Values

Section 3. Survey Results and Policy Implications

Chapter 4. Research on the Future of the Youth based on the Preferred Values

Section 1. Common Questions to Value Survey on the Future Perceptions, Attitudes, and the Future Look

Section 2. Policy Implications

Chapter 5. Research on Future Policy

Section 1. Controversial Future Policies in Reform Tasks

Section 2. Research Method

Section 3. Survey Results and Policy Implications

Chapter 6. A Study on the National Quality of Life and Happiness

Section 1. Questions and Survey Methods of the Quality of Life Survey

Section 2. Happiness Index System Research

Section 3. Pilot Survey Implementation

Section 4. Research Results and Policy Implications

Chapter 7. Conclusion

Section 1. Desirable Future and the People's Choice

Section 2. Monitoring on the Realization Process of the Preferred Future

Section 3. Policy Tasks

 

 

3. Research Project on Long-term National Development Strategy

4. Research Project on International Strategy

Volume 1: General Introduction to Research on the Long-term National Development Strategy  

Part 1. General Report

Part 2. Analysis of Research on the Mid-and Long-term National Development Strategy

Volume 2: National Development Governance System

Part 1. Research on Decision Making System

Part 2. Development and Functions of the Bureaucracy

Part 3. Budget Planning and Financial Management System

Volume 3: Studying the Quality of Life

Part 1. Expanding Welfare System and Delivery

System

Part 2. Housing and space

Part 3. Health Care System

Volume 4: Innovation Growth Engine

Part 1. Science and Technology Innovation Policy

Part 2. Financial System Development and Reform Tasks

Volume 5: Labor Market and Human Resources

Part 1. Labor Market Reform and Unemployment Safety Net

Part 2. Changes in Industrial Environment and Human Resource Policy

Chapter 1. Introduction

Section 1. Background and Necessity of

Research

Section 2. Scope and Method of Research

Chapter 2. Review on Precedent Study

Section 1. International Strategy Review

Section 2. Weaknesses of Precedent Study (Political Science + Future Study Perspective)

Chapter 3. Analysis Framework: Optimization Model Under Constraints (Constrained Optimization)

Section 1. National Interests Under Environmental Constraints

Section 2. International Strategy as a Strategy for Optimizing National Interest

Chapter 4. Conceptualization of International Strategy

Section 1. Security Statecraft

Section 2. Economic Statecraft

Section 3. Cultural Statecraft

Chapter 5. Regional Strategy

Section 1. America + Europe (applying differently for economic and cultural strategies)   

Section 2. Northeast Asia (China, Japan)

Section 3. North Korea

Section 4. Southeast Asia (CMVL+ASEAN)

Section 5. Middle East (Oil) and Africa (ODA)

Chapter 6. Comprehensive International Strategy for 2050 Korea

Section 1. International Environment for 2050 Section 2. National Interest and International Strategy for 2050

Section 3. Study on the Relationship between National Interests and International Strategies for 2050

Chapter 7. Conclusion

 

 

 

 

 

5. Research Project on Future Impact Assessment

6. Research Project on Strengthening Policy Capacity of the National Assembly

Chapter 1. Introduction

Section 1. Background and Necessity of Research

Section 2. Scope and Method of Research

Chapter 2. Theoretical Background and Review on Pilot Study

Section 1. Theoretical Background

Section 2. Limitations and Implications of Pilot Study

Chapter 3. Role of the Legislature in Promoting the Long-term National Strategy

Section 1. Role and Functions of the Legislative-Administrative in Promoting Long-term Strategies by Country

Section 2. Comparison and Analysis of Long-term Strategy Promotion Methods by the Legislative-Administrative Relations

Section 3. Measures to Strengthen the Long-term National Strategy Promotion Function of the National Assembly of the South Korea

Chapter 4. Analysis of Mid- and Long-Term Plans by Ministry

Section 1. Analysis on the Status of Establishment and Execution of Legal Mid-and-Long-Term Plans by Ministry

Section 2. Measures to Improve the Establishment and Execution of Mid-and-Long-term Plans by Ministry

Chapter 5. Analysis on Impact Assessment by Ministry

Section 1. Analysis on the Current Status of Impact Assessment by Ministry

Section 2. Comparing Major Items of Impact Assessment by Area

Section 3. Improvement Measures for Impact Assessment by Ministry

Chapter 6. Implementation Plan for Future Impact Assessment on Mid- and Long-term Plans  

Section 1. Purpose of Future Impact Assessment

Section 2. Items of Future Impact Assessment

Section 3. Evaluation Methodology by Item of Future Impact Assessment

Chapter 7. Pilot Study on Future Impact Assessment for Mid- and Long-term Plans by Area

Section 1. Examples of Future Impact Assessment for Mid- to Long-Term Plans in Political Area

Section 2. Example of Future Impact Assessment for Mid- to Long-Term Plan in Economic Area

Section 3. Examples of Future Impact Assessment for Mid- to Long-Term Plans in Social Area

Section 4. Examples of Future Impact Assessment for Mid- to Long-Term Plan in Technology Area

Chapter 8 Conclusion

Chapter 1. Introduction

Section 1. Purpose and Necessity

Section 2. Composition and Promotion System

 

Chapter 2. Study on Strengthening Policy Competency of Standing Committee/Special Committee of the National Assembly

Section 1. Purpose and Implementation System

Section 2. Research on Proposal and Recommendation of Standing Committee/Special Committee

Section 3. Research on Support for Policy Development of Standing Committee/Special Committee

Section 4. Joint Hosting and Support of Academic Seminars by Standing Committee/Special Committee

Chapter 3. Joint Research with Research Institutes Affiliated with Political Party

Section 1. Purpose and Implementation System

Section 2. Survey on the Public/Experts’ Perception on the National Assembly

Section 3. Study on the Improving Reliability in the National Assembly

Chapter 4. Study on Strengthening Policy Competency of Political Party Policy Committee  

Section 1. Purpose and Implementation System

Section 2. Operating Joint Policy Forum and Policy Meeting

Section 3. Joint Research on Proposals and Recommendations by Political Party Policy Committee

Chapter 5. Collaborative Research with Legislative/Budget Policy Supporting Organizations

Section 1. Purpose and Implementation System

Section 2. Joint Research with Legislative/Budget Policy Supporting Organizations

Section 3 Joint Forum and Meeting with Legislative/Budget Policy Supporting Organizations

Chapter 6. Study on Strengthening Policy Competency of Advisory Research Organizations  

Section 1. Purpose and Implementation System Section 2. Joint Policy Forum and Meeting with Advisory Research Organizations

Section 3. Suggestion and Recommendation Tasks on Joint Research by Advisory Research Organizations

Chapter 7. Conclusion

 

7. Research Project on Improving Own Research Capacity

8. Utilization of Research Findings & Diffusion Business

Chapter 1. Background and Necessity of Research

Chapter 2. Support Performance for Education, Training and Networks Related to Future Research

Section 1. Joint Seminar and Academic Conference Results

Section 2. Participation in Domestic Education Training and Performance of Network Support

Section 3. Participation in Oversea Education Training and Performance of Network Support

Chapter 3. Direction to Strengthen Own Research Competency

※ Preliminary research for the development of future research methodology, future convergence· in-depth · exploration research projects, and research projects on the subject of free convergence are replaced with separate reports, working papers, and service reports.

 

Chapter 1. Overview of Research Competency Improvement Project

Section 1. Background and Necessity of Project

Section 2. Project Purpose and Promotion System

1. Project Purpose

2. Promotion System

3. Promotion Method

Chapter 2. Main Contents and Performance of the Research Competency Improvement Project  

Section 1. Activating Knowledge Network for Future Research

1. Council and Advisory Committee of the NAFI

A. Research Council

1) Main Contents

2) Major Performance

B. Advisory Committee

2. International Exchange and Cooperation for Future Research

3. Sintering (expected effect)

Section 2. Sharing Future Knowledge and Discovering Future Issues

1. Brown Bag Seminar

2. Symposium on Future

3. Sintering (expected effect)

Section 3. Strengthening Own Future Research Competency

1. Academic Seminar on Future Research

2. Workshop on Future Research

3. Sintering (expected effect)

Section 4. Sharing and Expanding Global Linked Research Results

1. International Conference on the 1st Anniversary of the National Assembly Futures Institute

2. Consultation and Collaborative Academic Conference with East Asian Research Universities

3. Planning Joint Research with Excellent Overseas Research Institutes

Section 5. Expanding Research Result through Communication with the Public and Policy Consumers

1. Publishing Serial Contributions on Joint Planning:' Future Thoughts'

2. Sending Future Postcards

3. Sending a Letter (newsletter) from the Future 4. NAFI Website Operation

5. Sintering (expected effect)

Chapter 3. Conclusion